According to the Simulation Argument, at least one of the following propositions is true:
- Civilization will never reach technological maturity to the extent that we can create computer simulations indistinguishable from reality, not in fifty years, not in five million years.
- Future civilizations capable of these computer simulations will have no interest in running simulations of the past, for whatever reason.
- The ability to create simulators and the will to do so will result in an astronomical number of simulations of the past.
At least one must be true, according to a paper published in Philosophical Quarterly by Nick Bostrom, although he is clear to state that the argument doesn’t tell us which one. However, if 1 and 2 are not true, 3 creates an almost mathematical certainty that we are now living in a computer simulation as virtual people. The amount of real people are statistically eclipsed to irrelevancy by the overwhelming number of virtual people.